The data suggests caution when backing the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Utah Jazz are just 19-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -19.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +19.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record19-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size45 games
ROI-19.4%
Units Won-8.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20160-5-00.0%-100.0%
20171-4-00.0%-61.8%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20193-3-00.0%-4.5%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jazz's struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and tactical predictability that visiting teams exploit mercilessly. Utah has historically been a team that relies heavily on home crowd energy and familiar routines, making them particularly vulnerable when forced to bounce back in hostile environments. When the Jazz lose, they often lose their offensive rhythm entirely, becoming overly reliant on isolation plays from their primary scorers rather than executing their trademark ball movement and screen-heavy sets that create easy looks. The psychological component runs deeper than simple momentum shifts. Utah's coaching staff has consistently struggled with lineup adjustments and in-game adaptations when playing catch-up on the road, often sticking with rotations that clearly aren't working. This inflexibility becomes magnified after losses when the team desperately needs strategic pivots to regain confidence. Road underdogs sense this desperation and play with house money, creating the perfect storm for upset potential. Bettors should particularly avoid backing the Jazz as road favorites when they're coming off home losses by double digits, as this scenario amplifies their road struggles exponentially. This trend matters most during stretches of the season when Utah faces back-to-back road games against teams fighting for playoff positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Utah Jazz has a 19-26-0 ATS record as an away favorite after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.2% ATS win rate over 45 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Utah Jazz as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Utah Jazz as an away favorite after a loss is not profitable. The team has produced a -19.4% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams typically win around 50% of games when favored. The Jazz's complete failure to win straight-up in this spot makes it an exceptionally poor betting situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.