Toronto Raptors Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Toronto Raptors hold a record of 26-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' success as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, a trait deeply embedded since their championship run. When facing slight point spreads, Toronto tends to elevate their defensive intensity and ball movement, characteristics that have defined successful Raptors teams regardless of roster changes. The narrow spread often indicates games against similarly talented opponents where Toronto's superior coaching adjustments and depth become decisive factors. Small underdog situations typically arise when the Raptors face teams with slightly better records or home court advantage, scenarios where their veteran leadership and playoff-tested systems shine brightest. The team's ability to execute in clutch moments and maintain composure under pressure has consistently allowed them to either win outright or keep games closer than the market expects. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Toronto's small underdog value emerges most prominently in divisional matchups and games following losses, where their pride and competitive fire translate directly to covering spreads. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when rotations are settled and the team has established its identity, particularly in road games where the spread reflects venue advantage rather than true talent disparity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Toronto Raptors have a 26-18-0 ATS record when playing as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.1% ATS win rate over 44 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Toronto Raptors as small underdogs has been profitable with a 12.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 59.1% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raptors' 59.1% ATS win rate as small underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of their strongest betting situations over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.