The public often underestimates the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Toronto Raptors hold a record of 141-84-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $44 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record141-84-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size225 games
ROI+19.6%
Units Won+44.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-8-00.0%+14.6%
201515-9-00.0%+19.3%
201617-5-00.0%+47.5%
20179-9-00.0%-4.5%
201815-2-00.0%+68.5%
201914-10-00.0%+11.4%
202010-9-00.0%+0.5%
202113-10-00.0%+7.9%
202211-8-00.0%+10.5%
20239-10-00.0%-9.6%
202416-4-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Raptors' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the undervalued position. Toronto has historically thrived when overlooked by oddsmakers, particularly during their championship run and subsequent years when they consistently outperformed lowered expectations following key departures. Their success in these spots reflects the franchise's defensive identity and systematic approach under various coaching regimes. The Raptors have maintained a disciplined, team-first mentality that translates especially well when facing supposedly superior opponents on national television. The added motivation of proving doubters wrong has been a consistent thread, whether during the DeRozan era, the championship season with Kawhi Leonard, or the post-championship years with their retooled roster. The psychological edge of playing loose while opponents feel pressure to validate their favored status creates ideal conditions for Toronto's upset potential. Their depth and versatility allow them to exploit mismatches that oddsmakers may undervalue, particularly when factoring in their home court advantage or travel situations that favor their preparation. This trend matters most when Toronto faces teams with inflated public perception or during nationally televised games where the spotlight amplifies the underdog motivation that has historically fueled their best performances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Toronto Raptors have a 141-84-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.7% ATS win rate over 225 games.

Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Toronto Raptors as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 19.6% ROI. Their 62.7% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams struggle to exceed 52.4% ATS (break-even point). The Raptors' 62.7% ATS rate as primetime underdogs ranks among the most profitable situational trends in the NBA.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.