Toronto Raptors Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Raptors' struggles as large favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their organizational identity and the psychological demands of blowout expectations. Toronto has historically been built around defensive intensity and methodical execution rather than explosive offensive firepower, making it difficult to generate the sustained scoring runs necessary to cover inflated spreads against overmatched opponents. When laying significant points, the Raptors often fall victim to what championship teams avoid - playing down to their competition's level. Their defensive-minded culture, while effective in close games, can lead to complacency against weaker opponents who have nothing to lose. Teams facing elimination-level spreads typically play with desperate energy, while Toronto's measured approach allows inferior opponents to hang around longer than the betting market anticipates. The franchise's Canadian market dynamics also play a role, as they frequently face motivated opponents treating Toronto games as statement opportunities, particularly during nationally televised contests. Lesser teams often view games against the Raptors as circled calendar dates. Bettors should be most cautious backing Toronto as large favorites during mid-season stretches against struggling Eastern Conference opponents, especially in back-to-back situations where their methodical style becomes even more pronounced.