Toronto Raptors Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Toronto Raptors hold a record of 44-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +37.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $23 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 7-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to leverage disrespect as motivation. Toronto has historically thrived when overlooked, particularly at Scotiabank Arena where their passionate fanbase creates an intimidating environment that amplifies when the team feels undervalued by oddsmakers. This trend reflects the Raptors' defensive identity and their knack for making games uglier than expected. When coming off a victory, the team carries confidence while still maintaining the chip-on-their-shoulder mentality that comes with underdog status. The combination creates a dangerous psychological cocktail where Toronto plays with both swagger and hunger simultaneously. The franchise's "bet on yourself" mentality, established during the championship run and reinforced through various roster iterations, means role players consistently step up in these spots. Toronto's coaching staff has also shown remarkable ability to make tactical adjustments that exploit opponents who may be overlooking them after seeing the underdog line. Bettors should target this spot when Toronto faces teams on the second night of back-to-backs or Western Conference opponents who may underestimate the hostile home environment. This trend carries maximum value when the Raptors are catching points against playoff-caliber teams who might be looking ahead to their next opponent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Toronto Raptors have a 44-17-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 72.1% ATS win rate over 61 games.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Raptors as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 37.7% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period tracked.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 72.1% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The Raptors have been one of the most reliable home underdog plays in this specific situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.