The public often underestimates the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Toronto Raptors hold a record of 73-53-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +10.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record73-53-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size126 games
ROI+10.6%
Units Won+13.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-6-00.0%-52.3%
20156-7-00.0%-11.9%
201610-5-00.0%+27.3%
20176-5-00.0%+4.1%
20187-1-00.0%+67.0%
20199-6-00.0%+14.6%
20208-7-00.0%+1.8%
20216-4-00.0%+14.6%
20226-5-00.0%+4.1%
20234-3-00.0%+9.1%
20249-4-00.0%+32.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Raptors' success as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations and thriving in adversity. Toronto has consistently operated as a franchise that develops talent beyond projections, turning overlooked players into contributors through their developmental system. This mentality translates directly to games where they're not favored, as the team embraces the underdog role rather than being discouraged by it. Scotiabank Arena provides a unique home court advantage that amplifies when expectations are lowered. The passionate Toronto fanbase creates an electric atmosphere that energizes role players who often step up in these spots. The Raptors have historically been well-coached teams that execute game plans effectively, particularly when they can play loose without the pressure of being favored. The psychological edge of playing at home while being undervalued by oddsmakers creates a perfect storm for value. Toronto players have repeatedly shown they respond well to being counted out, using it as motivation to exceed performance expectations. This trend holds the most value when the Raptors are catching points at home against playoff-caliber opponents, especially during stretches when their roster health is questioned or they're dealing with perceived chemistry issues.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as home underdog?

The Toronto Raptors have a 73-53-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.9% ATS win rate over 126 games.

Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Toronto Raptors as home underdogs has been profitable with a 10.6% ROI. Despite covering the spread at a strong rate, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they rarely win outright in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Raptors' 57.9% ATS rate as home underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50%. Their 10.6% ROI demonstrates consistent value in this betting scenario over the 10-year period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.