The data suggests caution when backing the San Antonio Spurs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the San Antonio Spurs are just 17-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record17-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size38 games
ROI-14.6%
Units Won-5.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-3-00.0%-23.6%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-4-00.0%-36.4%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Spurs' struggles on one day of rest reflect a franchise philosophy that has historically prioritized player health and long-term success over short-term performance. San Antonio's coaching staff, particularly during the Gregg Popovich era, became notorious for strategic rest management, often sitting key players during back-to-back scenarios or compressed schedules. This approach created a culture where the team naturally operates at reduced intensity when facing quick turnarounds. The psychological factor cannot be understated - San Antonio's system-oriented basketball requires precise execution and mental sharpness that becomes compromised with limited recovery time. Their methodical offensive sets and disciplined defensive rotations demand players to be mentally locked in, something that deteriorates when legs are heavy and minds are fatigued. The Spurs have traditionally relied on veteran leadership and basketball IQ over pure athleticism, making them particularly vulnerable when that mental edge is dulled by fatigue. Bettors should view San Antonio as a fade candidate when they're laying points on one day of rest, especially against younger, more athletic opponents who thrive in up-tempo situations. This trend becomes most critical during the middle portion of the season when the grind of the schedule begins to wear on older rosters.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as one day rest?

The San Antonio Spurs have a 17-21-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.7% ATS win rate over 38 games.

Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as one day rest profitable?

No, betting on the San Antonio Spurs with one day of rest is not profitable. The team has generated a negative ROI of -14.6% with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Spurs' 44.7% ATS rate and significant negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations when playing on one day of rest.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.