The data suggests caution when backing the San Antonio Spurs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the San Antonio Spurs are just 27-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record27-31-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size58 games
ROI-11.1%
Units Won-6.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20163-4-00.0%-18.2%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20182-1-00.0%+27.3%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20212-0-00.0%+90.9%
20223-8-00.0%-47.9%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Spurs' struggles in second games of back-to-backs reflect their organizational philosophy prioritizing player health and long-term development over short-term results. San Antonio has consistently embraced load management more aggressively than most franchises, particularly during their championship years when they would strategically rest key players on the second night. This approach creates unpredictable lineups that oddsmakers struggle to properly price, leading to inflated spreads that don't account for missing rotation pieces. The franchise's emphasis on developing young talent also plays a crucial role in these situations. Coach Gregg Popovich frequently uses back-to-back scenarios as opportunities to evaluate bench players and rookies in meaningful minutes, creating lineups with limited chemistry and experience. These experimental rotations often struggle against more established units, particularly when facing teams playing with their standard rotations. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either. San Antonio's culture of rest-over-results has conditioned players to view second games as less critical, potentially affecting effort levels and focus. This mentality becomes most problematic when the Spurs are road favorites or small underdogs, where the market hasn't fully adjusted for their tendency to treat these games as developmental opportunities rather than must-win situations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The San Antonio Spurs have a 27-31-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.6% ATS win rate over 58 games.

Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as second game of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Spurs in the second game of back-to-backs is not profitable with an ROI of -11.1%. Their 46.6% ATS win rate falls well short of the 52.4% needed to break even.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical league average for second games of back-to-backs, which usually ranges around 48-50% ATS. The Spurs' -11.1% ROI indicates significantly poor value for bettors in these situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.