The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Sacramento Kings are just 21-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record21-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size44 games
ROI-8.9%
Units Won-3.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20152-3-00.0%-23.6%
20164-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20184-4-00.0%-4.5%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-4-00.0%-36.4%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' mediocre performance with two days rest reflects a franchise that has historically struggled with consistency and preparation during extended breaks. Sacramento's organizational culture over the past decade has been marked by coaching changes, roster turnover, and a lack of established systems that would typically help teams maximize practice time and mental preparation. Unlike veteran-heavy squads that use extra rest to refine execution, the Kings have often fielded young, developing rosters that benefit more from game rhythm than extended preparation periods. The psychological component cannot be overlooked either. Sacramento has carried the weight of playoff drought expectations, and extended rest periods can amplify overthinking and pressure situations. Teams coming off emotional wins or losses often lose momentum during two-day breaks, and the Kings' volatile season-to-season performance suggests they lack the mental fortitude to consistently capitalize on additional preparation time. For bettors, this trend suggests fading Sacramento as favorites when they've had two days rest, particularly in home games where expectations run higher. The sweet spot for exploiting this pattern occurs during mid-season stretches when the Kings face playoff-contending opponents, as the preparation advantage typically favors more disciplined, veteran teams.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as two days rest?

The Sacramento Kings have a 21-23-0 ATS record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.7% ATS win rate over 44 total games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -8.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 47.7% ATS win rate with two days rest is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. Without specific league average data for this rest scenario, this performance suggests below-average results compared to typical ATS expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.