The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Sacramento Kings are just 24-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record24-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI-13.6%
Units Won-7.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-3-00.0%+38.8%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20172-6-00.0%-52.3%
20184-3-00.0%+9.1%
20195-3-00.0%+19.3%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-4-00.0%-36.4%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles on one day of rest reflect a franchise that has historically lacked the depth and conditioning infrastructure necessary to compete effectively in compressed scheduling situations. Sacramento's roster construction over the past decade has often prioritized offensive talent over defensive versatility, creating lineups that become particularly vulnerable when legs are heavy and rotations are shortened. The team's fast-paced offensive system, which relies heavily on transition opportunities and high-energy execution, naturally deteriorates when players are operating on limited recovery time. Sacramento's coaching staff has frequently struggled to make effective adjustments during back-to-back scenarios, often sticking with regular rotation patterns rather than strategically managing minutes for key players. This inflexibility becomes magnified on one day of rest, where the margin for error shrinks considerably. The Kings' defensive rebounding, already a persistent weakness, becomes even more problematic when players lack the explosiveness to contest second-chance opportunities effectively. The psychological component cannot be overlooked either - Sacramento has developed a reputation as a team that fades in adverse conditions, and one-day rest situations often become self-fulfilling prophecies where effort levels drop noticeably in crucial fourth-quarter moments. Bettors should target fading Sacramento on one day of rest when they're facing teams with superior depth, particularly during stretches of multiple games in short succession where fatigue compounds.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as one day rest?

The Sacramento Kings have a 24-29-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.3% ATS win rate over 53 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as one day rest profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings with one day of rest is not profitable. The team has generated a -13.6% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 45.3% ATS win rate on one day rest is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -13.6% ROI indicates significantly poor performance compared to league standards in this rest situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.