Sacramento Kings Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Sacramento Kings are just 30-40-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2018 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2021 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2023 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2024 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kings' struggles as medium favorites stem from their organizational inconsistency and young core's inability to handle expectation pressure. Sacramento has historically been a franchise caught between rebuilding and competing, leading to roster construction that lacks the veteran leadership necessary to close out games they're supposed to win. When laying points in this range, the Kings often face teams with nothing to lose, creating dangerous letdown spots. Sacramento's fast-paced offensive system under recent coaching regimes has made them particularly vulnerable to covering larger spreads. Their reliance on three-point shooting and transition scoring creates high variance outcomes - they can blow teams out or fall flat when shots aren't falling. The Kings also tend to play down to competition level, a psychological flaw that manifests most clearly when they're expected to dominate lesser opponents. The franchise's lack of playoff experience compounds these issues. Players who haven't consistently performed under pressure often tighten up in must-cover situations, leading to poor fourth-quarter execution and blown leads. This trend matters most when Sacramento faces sub-.500 teams at home during the middle portion of the season, where complacency typically peaks and the Kings' effort level becomes most questionable.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Sacramento Kings have a 30-40-0 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7 point spreads) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.9% ATS win rate over 70 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Sacramento Kings as medium favorites has not been profitable, showing a -18.2% ROI from 2014-2024. With a 0% overall win rate in this betting situation, it has been a consistently losing proposition.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Kings' 42.9% ATS win rate as medium favorites is significantly below the expected 50% break-even rate and likely underperforms the league average. Their -18.2% ROI indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads in this range more than typical teams.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.