Sacramento Kings Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Sacramento Kings hold a record of 46-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +33.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $22 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2015 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kings' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their historically volatile roster construction and coaching instability, which creates significant market inefficiencies. When Sacramento enters games as moderate underdogs, they're typically facing teams with superior records but similar talent levels, a scenario where their unpredictable style becomes an asset rather than a liability. Sacramento's fast-paced offensive system thrives when expectations are lowered. The franchise has consistently featured athletic guards and versatile forwards who can exploit defensive lapses in transition, but these same players often struggle with consistency in favored situations where opponents game-plan specifically to slow their tempo. As medium underdogs, the Kings benefit from reduced defensive intensity early in games while maintaining their aggressive offensive approach. The psychological element cannot be ignored. Sacramento's fanbase and organizational culture have been conditioned by decades of mediocrity, creating a "nothing to lose" mentality that translates into fearless play when slightly counted out. Their players perform with less pressure in these spots compared to games where they're expected to win. This trend holds maximum value during the middle portion of the season when sample sizes stabilize but before playoff positioning creates additional motivational factors that can override normal performance patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Sacramento Kings have a 46-20-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 69.7% ATS win rate over 66 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Sacramento Kings as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 33.1% ROI. Their 69.7% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Kings' 69.7% cover rate as medium underdogs represents a significant edge over typical expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.