The public often underestimates the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Sacramento Kings hold a record of 58-40-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record58-40-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size98 games
ROI+13.0%
Units Won+12.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-7-00.0%-30.6%
20156-6-00.0%-4.5%
20165-1-00.0%+59.1%
20176-1-00.0%+63.6%
201810-7-00.0%+12.3%
20196-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20225-3-00.0%+19.3%
20234-6-00.0%-23.6%
20246-3-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Sacramento Kings have historically thrived as large underdogs due to their organizational culture of playing spoiler and their tendency to embrace the underdog mentality. When facing significant point spreads, the Kings often benefit from reduced pressure and looser gameplay, allowing their naturally talented but inconsistent roster to play more freely. Their fast-paced offensive system becomes particularly effective against teams that may be overlooking them or managing rest for key players. Sacramento's success in these spots stems from their ability to exploit overconfident opponents who might not match their intensity level. The Kings' young core has consistently shown they respond well to being written off, often producing their most inspired basketball when expectations are lowest. Their high-octane offense can create variance that works in their favor when books set inflated lines based on opponent strength rather than situational dynamics. The key insight for bettors is to target Sacramento as large road underdogs specifically, where the combination of low expectations and potential opponent complacency creates maximum value. This trend holds the most significance when the Kings are catching big numbers against elite teams in nationally televised games or during playoff races, where motivation disparities become most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Sacramento Kings have a 58-40-0 ATS record as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.2% ATS win rate over 98 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Sacramento Kings as large underdogs has been profitable with a 13.0% ROI. Despite covering the spread nearly 60% of the time, this represents strong value for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. The Kings' 59.2% ATS rate and 13.0% ROI as big underdogs indicates they regularly outperform low expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.