The public often underestimates the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Sacramento Kings hold a record of 62-43-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record62-43-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size105 games
ROI+12.7%
Units Won+13.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-5-00.0%-15.2%
20156-3-00.0%+27.3%
20166-4-00.0%+14.6%
20175-4-00.0%+6.1%
20187-5-00.0%+11.4%
20198-3-00.0%+38.8%
20204-5-00.0%-15.2%
20213-4-00.0%-18.2%
20225-2-00.0%+36.4%
20234-4-00.0%-4.5%
202410-4-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' success as home underdogs stems from their ability to leverage Sacramento's passionate fanbase and create an environment where low expectations breed fearless basketball. When oddsmakers install them as underdogs at Golden 1 Center, it typically reflects concerns about their defensive consistency or matchup disadvantages against elite teams. However, this underdog status often coincides with the Kings playing their most inspired basketball, as players respond to the challenge of proving doubters wrong on their home court. Sacramento's offensive identity thrives in these scenarios because their pace-and-space system can catch favored opponents off-guard, particularly teams that might approach the game expecting a comfortable victory. The Kings' ability to shoot the three-ball and push tempo creates variance that works in their favor when they're getting points. Their young core, led by players who've faced adversity throughout their careers, seems to embrace the chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that comes with being home underdogs. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Sacramento faces quality opponents who might overlook them due to the Kings' reputation for inconsistency. This trend matters most when they're catching points against playoff-caliber teams during nationally televised games or crucial late-season matchups where motivation levels create the perfect storm for an upset cover.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as home underdog?

The Sacramento Kings have a 62-43-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.0% ATS win rate over 105 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Sacramento Kings as home underdogs has been profitable with a 12.7% ROI over the past decade. Despite being underdogs, they've consistently covered the spread at a strong rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 59.0% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. This represents one of the more profitable betting trends in the NBA.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.