The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Sacramento Kings are just 86-123-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -21.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +21.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record86-123-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size209 games
ROI-21.4%
Units Won-44.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-9-00.0%+16.2%
201512-8-00.0%+14.6%
20167-11-00.0%-25.8%
20178-11-00.0%-19.6%
201812-8-00.0%+14.6%
20196-16-00.0%-47.9%
20205-15-00.0%-52.3%
20219-6-00.0%+14.6%
20225-16-00.0%-54.5%
20233-17-00.0%-71.4%
20245-6-00.0%-13.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reflect a franchise historically plagued by inconsistency and mental fragility. When Sacramento enters these bounce-back spots, the psychological weight of recent failures often compounds rather than motivates. The organization's long-standing culture of underachievement creates a pattern where players and coaches alike press too hard to end the skid, leading to forced plays and abandoned game plans that make them vulnerable against the spread. Sacramento's roster construction over the past decade has frequently featured talented but mentally soft players who struggle with pressure situations. The team's tendency to rely heavily on perimeter shooting becomes particularly problematic after losing streaks, as confidence issues manifest in poor shot selection and defensive lapses. Opposing teams recognize these vulnerabilities and often play with house money, knowing the Kings are desperate for a statement win. The most actionable insight for bettors is to target Sacramento's opponents in these spots, particularly when the Kings are small favorites at home where fan expectations add extra pressure. This trend carries the most weight when Sacramento faces teams with strong defensive identities or veteran leadership, as these opponents are best equipped to exploit the Kings' mental weakness and capitalize on their desperation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Sacramento Kings have an 86-123-0 ATS record when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.1% ATS win rate over 209 total games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Kings as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -21.4% ROI. This represents consistent losses for bettors backing Sacramento in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS rate for any team situation. The Kings' 41.1% ATS rate in this spot indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads when expected to bounce back as favorites.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.