The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Sacramento Kings are just 22-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record22-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size48 games
ROI-12.5%
Units Won-6.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20153-4-00.0%-18.2%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20184-2-00.0%+27.3%
20191-6-00.0%-72.7%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles in back-to-back scenarios stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and coaching instability throughout much of this sample period. Sacramento has frequently relied on young, inexperienced players who lack the physical conditioning and mental fortitude to maintain peak performance on consecutive nights. The franchise's revolving door of coaches during this timeframe also meant inconsistent preparation strategies and rotation management for these demanding scheduling situations. Sacramento's offensive-heavy playing style compounds these issues, as their fast-paced approach and reliance on perimeter shooting creates significant physical demands. When legs get heavy on the second night, three-point percentages typically drop, forcing the Kings into uncomfortable half-court grinding that doesn't suit their personnel. The team's defensive deficiencies become more pronounced with fatigue, as their already questionable rotations and communication break down further. The recent uptick suggests improved depth and conditioning under current management, but bettors should remain cautious when Sacramento faces quality opponents in back-to-back situations. The negative ROI indicates consistent overvaluation by the betting market. This trend carries the most weight when the Kings face defensively disciplined teams on the road during the second game, where travel fatigue amplifies their existing weaknesses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The Sacramento Kings have a 22-26-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.8% ATS win rate over 48 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as second game of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings in the second game of back-to-backs has not been profitable, showing a -12.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently following this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 45.8% ATS win rate in back-to-back second games is below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance suggests they struggle more than average teams in these scheduling situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.