Sacramento Kings Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Sacramento Kings are just 22-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 0-8-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kings' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the mental fortitude to bounce back from adversity. Sacramento's young core often compounds mistakes with pressing, particularly when expectations are elevated through favorable betting lines. The psychological burden of being favored away from home after a disappointing performance creates a perfect storm for underperformance. Sacramento's offensive system relies heavily on pace and rhythm, which becomes disrupted when players overthink possessions following losses. Their tendency to abandon ball movement in favor of isolation plays intensifies on the road, where they lack the comfort of home crowd energy. The Kings have consistently shown poor shot selection and defensive lapses when trying to prove themselves after setbacks, especially against teams they're expected to beat. The franchise's inconsistent coaching changes over the years have also contributed to this trend, as players haven't developed the systematic approach needed to handle adversity professionally. Different coaching philosophies have failed to instill the discipline required for road favorites to execute game plans under pressure. Bettors should be particularly wary of this trend when Sacramento faces teams with strong home records or when the Kings are coming off emotional losses to divisional rivals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Sacramento Kings have a 22-31-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.5% ATS win rate over 53 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Sacramento Kings as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has a 0.0% straight-up win rate and -20.8% ROI, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams maintain around 50% ATS rates in similar situations. The Kings' 41.5% ATS rate and negative ROI suggest they struggle particularly in this specific scenario.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.