The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Sacramento Kings are just 48-63-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record48-63-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size111 games
ROI-17.4%
Units Won-19.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-5-00.0%+27.3%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20165-5-00.0%-4.5%
20175-5-00.0%-4.5%
20184-3-00.0%+9.1%
20192-11-00.0%-70.6%
20203-7-00.0%-42.7%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20224-9-00.0%-41.3%
20232-10-00.0%-68.2%
20245-3-00.0%+19.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise-long identity crisis that manifests most clearly when expectations are highest. Sacramento has historically been built around offensive firepower rather than defensive consistency, creating a team that can light up scoreboards at home but struggles to impose their will in hostile environments. When oddsmakers make them road favorites, it typically means they're facing a depleted or struggling opponent, yet the Kings often play down to competition rather than stepping on throats. Sacramento's core issue lies in mental toughness and execution under pressure. Their high-tempo, offense-first approach works beautifully in the controlled environment of Golden 1 Center, but road games require different skills - grinding out possessions, making tough shots in crucial moments, and maintaining focus when momentum shifts. The Kings have consistently shown they can beat good teams when playing loose as underdogs, but when they're expected to handle business against weaker opponents, they frequently let games slip away through poor late-game execution and defensive lapses. For bettors, this trend suggests fading Sacramento whenever they're laying points on the road, particularly against teams with nothing to lose. This pattern becomes most critical during the season's final months when playoff positioning intensifies pressure on road favorites.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as away favorite?

The Sacramento Kings have a 48-63-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 48 games while failing to cover in 63 games. This represents a 43.2% ATS win rate over 111 total games as road favorites.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings as away favorites is not profitable, with a -17.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return means bettors would have lost money consistently backing Sacramento when they were favored on the road.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 43.2% ATS win rate as away favorites is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely well below league average. Most successful teams maintain close to 50% ATS rates, making Sacramento's performance as road favorites particularly poor for bettors.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.