Portland Trail Blazers Small Favorite (-1 to -3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Portland Trail Blazers hold a record of 22-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' success as small favorites stems from their unique roster construction and organizational culture that thrives in competitive environments. Portland has historically built teams around dynamic backcourt talent paired with versatile frontcourt players, creating a style that excels when expectations are measured but not overwhelming. This sweet spot allows their skilled guards to control tempo while their forwards exploit mismatches without the pressure of being heavily favored. Portland's home-court advantage at Moda Center amplifies this trend significantly. The intimate venue and passionate fanbase create an environment where small spreads become more manageable, particularly when the team can establish early rhythm. Their coaching staff has consistently emphasized execution over flash, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers view games as essentially pick-em scenarios. The psychological element cannot be overlooked - Portland players historically respond well to respect rather than dominance expectations. When laying small numbers, they maintain the underdog mentality that has defined successful Trail Blazers teams while having just enough confidence to execute in crucial moments. This trend holds maximum value during home games against Western Conference opponents, where Portland's familiarity with similar playing styles and the crowd's energy create optimal conditions for covering modest spreads.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 22-13-0 ATS record when favored by 1-3 points from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 62.9% ATS win rate in small favorite situations.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Trail Blazers as small favorites has been highly profitable with a 20.0% ROI over this period. Their 22-13 ATS record demonstrates consistent value against the spread in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds typical league averages, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Trail Blazers' 62.9% ATS rate and 20% ROI as small favorites represents exceptional value compared to standard expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.