The Portland Trail Blazers show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 128-122-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record128-122-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size250 games
ROI-2.2%
Units Won-5.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-14-00.0%-16.0%
201510-12-00.0%-13.2%
201616-13-00.0%+5.3%
201711-10-00.0%0.0%
201812-11-00.0%-0.4%
201911-13-00.0%-12.5%
202015-9-00.0%+19.3%
20218-12-00.0%-23.6%
20228-11-00.0%-19.6%
202313-8-00.0%+18.2%
202413-9-00.0%+12.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Trail Blazers' modest underperformance with extended rest reflects a franchise that has historically thrived on rhythm and momentum rather than meticulous preparation. Portland's offensive identity has long centered around high-usage guards like Damian Lillard, whose scoring bursts and clutch performances often emerge from game flow rather than scripted plays. When given too much time between games, these rhythm shooters can lose their natural timing, particularly from three-point range where the Blazers have consistently ranked among the league's most prolific teams. Portland's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized pace and transition opportunities, systems that benefit from players staying in game shape through consistent action. Extended rest periods can disrupt this uptempo approach, forcing the team into more half-court sets where their talent disadvantages become magnified against better-prepared opponents. The franchise's frequent roster turnover and integration of young players also suggests that chemistry-building happens through game repetition rather than practice time. The recent positive trend indicates potential organizational maturity, but bettors should remain cautious when Portland faces quality opponents after extended layoffs. This trend matters most when the Blazers are road favorites or facing teams with strong defensive systems that can exploit their rhythm-dependent offense.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Portland Trail Blazers have gone 128-122-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.2% ATS win rate over 250 total games.

Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as three or more days rest profitable?

Betting on the Portland Trail Blazers with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -2.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Trail Blazers' 51.2% ATS win rate with extended rest is slightly above the typical 50% break-even point but below most profitable betting thresholds. The -2.2% ROI suggests underperformance compared to successful betting strategies which typically target 52-55% win rates.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.