Portland Trail Blazers One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 36-40-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' mediocre performance on one day's rest reflects the franchise's historical reliance on high-usage offensive players who struggle to maintain efficiency without adequate recovery time. Portland's offensive system has traditionally centered around ball-dominant guards like Damian Lillard, requiring constant decision-making and physical exertion that compounds fatigue. When playing back-to-back scenarios, this style becomes particularly taxing as primary playmakers see their shooting percentages and defensive intensity decline. Portland's geographic isolation also plays a subtle but meaningful role in their rest-disadvantaged performance. The Blazers often face longer travel distances than most Western Conference teams, making the recovery window between games even more compressed. Their home court advantage at the Moda Center typically relies on crowd energy and rhythm shooting, both of which can be disrupted when key players are operating on limited rest. The franchise's defensive schemes have historically been more reactive than proactive, requiring constant communication and rotation adjustments that become sloppy when players are fatigued. This creates vulnerable spots that opposing teams exploit through ball movement and transition opportunities. Bettors should target Portland as fade candidates when they're road favorites on one day's rest, particularly against teams with strong offensive pace that can exploit their defensive lapses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as one day rest?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 36-40-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.4% ATS win rate over 76 games.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers on one day of rest has not been profitable, showing a -9.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Portland in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Trail Blazers' 47.4% ATS win rate on one day of rest is below the typical break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard sportsbook juice. Their performance in this situation has been consistently below league average expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.