Portland Trail Blazers Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Portland Trail Blazers hold a record of 62-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +36.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $31 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2017 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 13-3-0 | 0.0% | +55.1% |
| 2024 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their roster construction around versatile, high-basketball-IQ players. Portland has consistently built teams that don't fold under pressure, often featuring guards like Damian Lillard who thrive in clutch situations and role players who understand their assignments. When facing superior opponents, the Blazers benefit from reduced expectations and the freedom to play loose, aggressive basketball. Their success in these spots also reflects smart game planning by coaching staff who understand how to exploit matchup advantages against teams that might overlook them. Portland's ability to space the floor and create tempo shifts allows them to stay competitive even when talent-disadvantaged. The franchise's "underdog mentality" becomes a genuine asset when the spread reflects legitimate talent gaps. The psychological edge of playing with house money cannot be understated – when you're expected to lose big, every made shot and defensive stop builds momentum exponentially. This creates a snowball effect where early success breeds confidence and tighter execution. This trend carries the most weight when Portland faces elite teams in nationally televised games or playoff-race scenarios where motivation levels peak and the Blazers can channel their scrappy identity most effectively.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Portland Trail Blazers have an impressive 62-25-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This translates to a 71.3% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 36.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their 71.3% ATS success rate in these spots significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. A 71.3% ATS rate and 36.0% ROI as large underdogs places Portland among the most profitable teams to back in these situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.