The public often underestimates the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Portland Trail Blazers hold a record of 39-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $16 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record39-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size58 games
ROI+28.4%
Units Won+16.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20154-3-00.0%+9.1%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20195-1-00.0%+59.1%
20204-0-00.0%+90.9%
20216-3-00.0%+27.3%
20223-2-00.0%+14.6%
20235-3-00.0%+19.3%
20243-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Trail Blazers' success as home underdogs following victories stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their fanbase's unwavering support during adversity. Portland has historically thrived when expectations are low, as the underdog role removes pressure while the Moda Center crowd becomes particularly energized when their team is disrespected by oddsmakers. The combination of recent momentum from a win and the chip-on-the-shoulder mentality creates an ideal psychological environment for overperformance. Portland's roster construction over the years has favored versatile, high-basketball-IQ players who excel in situational basketball. When coming off wins as home underdogs, the team typically maintains confidence while benefiting from sharp line movement that often inflates their perceived value. The Pacific Northwest's passionate fanbase creates a legitimate home-court advantage that oddsmakers sometimes undervalue, particularly when the team enters with positive momentum. Bettors should target this spot when Portland faces quality opponents in nationally televised games or divisional matchups, as these scenarios maximize both the crowd energy and the team's motivation to prove doubters wrong. This trend carries the most weight when the Blazers are catching fewer than 6 points at home following a convincing victory.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Portland Trail Blazers have an outstanding 39-19-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 67.2% ATS win rate over 58 games.

Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Trail Blazers as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 28.4% ROI. This trend has consistently delivered value for bettors over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 67.2% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Trail Blazers have been exceptionally reliable in this specific situation compared to other NBA teams.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.