Portland Trail Blazers Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 42-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -34.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +34.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-8-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2015 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
| 2017 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2018 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2019 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2020 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2021 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 2-10-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2024 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the killer instinct needed to close out games against supposedly inferior opponents. Portland's identity has long been built around individual talent rather than collective defensive intensity, making them vulnerable when playing down to competition away from home. The organization's tendency to rely on offensive firepower from guards like Damian Lillard creates a feast-or-famine dynamic that becomes magnified in hostile environments where role players shrink and the supporting cast fails to complement star performances. Portland's coaching philosophy has consistently emphasized pace and offensive efficiency over the grinding, methodical approach typically required to cover spreads as road favorites. When facing teams with less talent but more desperation, the Blazers often find themselves in closer-than-expected contests where their lack of defensive discipline becomes costly. The franchise's frequent roster turnover and youth movement has also contributed to inconsistent road performances, as younger players struggle with the mental aspect of maintaining focus against teams they're expected to beat. This trend carries the most weight when Portland faces rebuilding teams or squads playing with nothing to lose, particularly in the final months of the season when motivation disparities are most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as away favorite?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 42-81-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 34.1% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this situation over that timeframe.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -34.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 35 cents for every dollar wagered on Portland in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads over time. Portland's 34.1% cover rate as away favorites represents a substantial negative deviation from expected performance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.