Wendell Carter Jr.'s three-pointers made prop shows a slight over edge with a 52.2% hit rate (24-22 record) and averages 1.13 makes against a 0.89 line. The +0.24 differential suggests modest value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates tight market pricing. Lean over based on the consistent production above expectations.
Expert Analysis
Carter's three-point production reflects Orlando's modern offensive system that encourages big men to stretch the floor. His 1.13 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.89 line, creating a meaningful 0.24 edge that has sustained across 46 games. The 52.2% over rate isn't overwhelming but represents genuine value in a prop market where books often undervalue evolving player roles. Carter's transformation from traditional center to floor-spacer aligns with league trends, and his shooting mechanics appear consistent enough to maintain this production level. The balanced 24-22 record suggests this isn't a hot streak but rather a new baseline. However, the negative ROI on both sides (-0.4% over, -8.7% under) indicates sharp market adjustment, meaning edges may be shrinking. The five-game streaks in both directions show volatility exists, but the overall trend favors continued three-point attempts. Orlando's pace and Carter's increased comfort from distance support the sustainability of this edge, though regression toward league-average shooting percentages remains a constant threat for any big man attempting threes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Carter's consistent 1.13 average against a 0.89 line creates legitimate value that reflects his evolved role in Orlando's offense. The 52.2% over rate across 46 games suggests sustainable production above market expectations. Best spots are games where Orlando faces uptempo opponents or needs floor spacing. Main risk is shooting regression and potential line adjustments as books catch up to his increased three-point volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Wendell Carter Jr.'s 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Carter's three-pointers made prop shows a 24-22-0 over/under record (52.2% overs) across 46 games from October 2023 to April 2025. He averages 1.13 makes against a typical 0.89 line, creating a consistent +0.24 differential that favors over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Wendell Carter Jr. 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Carter's three-pointers made props. His 1.13 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.89 line, and the 52.2% over rate across 46 games indicates sustainable value. The edge reflects his evolved role as a floor-spacing big man in Orlando's system.
What's Wendell Carter Jr.'s average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Carter averages 1.13 three-pointers made per game across all situations, compared to a typical line of 0.89. This +0.24 differential represents meaningful value, as he consistently produces above market expectations while maintaining a 52.2% over rate across 46 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Carter's three-point props when Orlando faces uptempo opponents or needs floor spacing against smaller lineups. His production stems from system role rather than hot shooting, making most spots viable. Avoid games where Orlando might play more traditional lineups or rest starters.