Victor Wembanyama's three-point props on one day rest present a compelling over opportunity, hitting 56.5% of the time across 46 games with a +0.17 average differential above the line. The 7.9% ROI on overs versus -17.0% on unders creates a clear directional edge favoring the over.
Expert Analysis
Wembanyama's elevated three-point production on standard rest reflects his comfort level and shot selection when properly recovered. The 1.89 average against a typical 1.72 line suggests oddsmakers consistently undervalue his perimeter volume in these spots. The 56.5% hit rate isn't overwhelming, but the positive ROI differential tells the real story—when Wembanyama goes over, he tends to exceed by meaningful margins, while his unders cluster closer to the number. This pattern aligns with his role as San Antonio's primary offensive weapon, where adequate rest allows him to be more aggressive from beyond the arc. The Spurs' pace-and-space system encourages his three-point attempts, particularly when he's not dealing with back-to-back fatigue that might limit his range or shot attempts. His current three-game over streak suggests he's found his rhythm, though the equal four-game streaks in both directions indicate this isn't a runaway trend. The key factor remains his shot attempts—when Wembanyama takes five or more threes on standard rest, the over becomes significantly more likely given his 34.6% career three-point percentage.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 7.9% ROI edge and consistent average differential create value, though the 56.5% hit rate prevents this from being a slam dunk. Target games where San Antonio faces up-tempo opponents or enters as underdogs, as both scenarios typically increase Wembanyama's three-point volume. The main risk is his inconsistent shot selection—some games he settles for mid-range despite having the green light from deep.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Wembanyama's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Wembanyama's three-point props on one day rest show a 26-20 over/under record (56.5% overs) across 46 games. He averages 1.89 makes against typical 1.72 lines, creating consistent value for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Wembanyama 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Lean over on Wembanyama's three-point props with one day rest. The 7.9% ROI edge and +0.17 average differential above lines create medium-confidence value, especially against up-tempo opponents or when San Antonio is an underdog.
What's Victor Wembanyama's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Wembanyama averages 1.89 three-pointers made on one day rest, which runs 0.17 above the typical 1.72 line. This consistent differential above market expectations creates the foundation for profitable over betting in these situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Wembanyama three-point overs on standard rest against fast-paced teams or when the Spurs are underdogs. These game scripts increase his attempt volume, and adequate rest ensures he's not limited by fatigue from back-to-back games.