Victor Wembanyama has emerged as a legitimate three-point threat, hitting overs at a 70.0% clip (7-3-0) over his last 10 games while averaging 2.9 makes against a 2.3 line. The 7-foot-4 unicorn is currently riding a three-game over streak, suggesting books haven't fully adjusted to his expanding perimeter role. This presents a strong lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Wembanyama's three-point surge represents a fundamental shift in how San Antonio deploys their generational talent. The 2.9 average against a 2.3 line reveals a meaningful 0.6 differential that suggests oddsmakers are still pricing him as a traditional big man rather than the perimeter-oriented unicorn he's becoming. The 70.0% over rate with a robust +33.6% ROI indicates this isn't random variance but a sustainable trend driven by increased usage and confidence from beyond the arc. The current three-game over streak aligns with his natural shooting development curve, as young players typically show improvement in chunks rather than linear progression. What's particularly encouraging is the consistency - only one game in the sample produced a significant under, suggesting his floor has risen considerably. The biggest risk lies in potential regression to his career norms or defensive adjustments that force him inside, but his unique physical tools and modern offensive system make this unlikely. San Antonio's pace and spacing create optimal conditions for his three-point attempts, and opposing teams still struggle with how to defend a seven-footer who can legitimately shoot from 25 feet.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Wembanyama's 70.0% over rate and +0.6 average differential indicate books haven't caught up to his perimeter evolution. The three-game streak suggests momentum, and his unique skill set makes defensive adjustments difficult. Primary risk is natural regression, but his physical tools and San Antonio's system support continued three-point success. Target games where pace favors multiple attempts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Wembanyama's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Wembanyama has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70.0% rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's currently on a three-game over streak, showing consistent perimeter production that exceeds oddsmaker expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Wembanyama 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Wembanyama's three-pointers made props. His 70.0% over rate and 2.9 average against a 2.3 line show books haven't adjusted to his expanded perimeter role. The +33.6% ROI supports this as a profitable trend.
What's Victor Wembanyama's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Wembanyama is averaging 2.9 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to a typical 2.3 line, creating a favorable +0.6 differential. This gap suggests oddsmakers are undervaluing his current three-point production and confidence level.
How reliable is this trend?
Target games with faster pace and spread-heavy lineups where Wembanyama gets more perimeter touches. His three-point success correlates with San Antonio's spacing, so avoid games against teams that pack the paint and limit his range opportunities.