Victor Wembanyama's three-pointers made prop shows a clear edge toward overs, hitting 59.4% of the time across 69 games with a +13.4% ROI. The 7-foot-4 unicorn averages 1.88 makes against a typical 1.7 line, creating consistent value. Lean Over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Wembanyama represents a paradigm shift in center play, and the betting market hasn't fully adjusted to his perimeter volume. His 59.4% over rate stems from San Antonio's modern offensive system that encourages his outside shooting despite his size. The +0.2 differential between his 1.88 average and the standard 1.7 line creates mathematical value that compounds over time. What makes this trend particularly robust is Wembanyama's shot selection discipline—he's not forcing contested threes but taking quality looks within the offense. The current three-game over streak aligns with his season-long pattern, where he's shown remarkable consistency for a rookie big man. The 13.4% ROI on overs demonstrates the market's continued undervaluation of his three-point volume. While regression is always possible, Wembanyama's unique skill set and the Spurs' commitment to pace-and-space basketball suggest this trend has staying power. The lack of significant under streaks (longest is just four games) indicates his floor remains high even in off-shooting nights, as his attempts stay consistent regardless of early makes or misses.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Wembanyama's 59.4% over rate and positive ROI create a sustainable edge that the market hasn't corrected. His unique combination of size, skill, and San Antonio's modern system generates consistent three-point volume that exceeds the typical 1.7 line. The main risk is potential load management or blowout scenarios that could limit his minutes, but his shot attempts remain steady when active.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Wembanyama's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Wembanyama's three-pointers made prop has gone over 41 times and under 28 times in 69 games, a 59.4% over rate. He averages 1.88 makes per game against the typical 1.7 line, generating a +13.4% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Wembanyama 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet over on Wembanyama's three-pointers made props. His 59.4% over rate and +0.2 line differential create consistent value. The market undervalues his perimeter volume in San Antonio's modern offensive system, making overs the profitable long-term play.
What's Victor Wembanyama's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Wembanyama averages 1.88 three-pointers made per game across 69 contests. This sits 0.2 makes above the standard 1.7 line, creating a meaningful edge that has generated positive ROI for over bettors throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Wembanyama three-pointers overs in all game situations given his 59.4% success rate. His volume remains consistent regardless of game flow, making every opportunity valuable. Avoid only during confirmed rest games or significant injury concerns.