Tyus Jones delivers exceptional three-point value with extended rest, posting a 7-5 over record (58.3%) while averaging 2.17 makes against a 1.5 line. The +0.7 differential and +11.4% ROI make this a clear lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
The numbers reveal a compelling pattern for Tyus Jones when operating with two or more days of rest. His 2.17 average against the standard 1.5 line creates substantial value, suggesting the market consistently undervalues his three-point output in these situations. The 58.3% over rate demonstrates meaningful edge over typical -110 pricing, while the +11.4% ROI confirms profitable betting opportunities. Jones benefits significantly from extended preparation time, likely allowing him to refine his shooting mechanics and study opponent tendencies more thoroughly. As Washington's primary facilitator, additional rest helps Jones maintain the energy needed to create quality looks beyond his playmaking duties. The sample size of 12 games provides reasonable confidence, though the lack of recent form data creates some uncertainty about current shooting touch. The trend's persistence across multiple months suggests this isn't random variance but rather a legitimate rest-based advantage. However, bettors should monitor for potential market adjustment, as books may eventually recognize this pattern and adjust lines accordingly. The current streak of two consecutive overs adds momentum, though regression remains possible given the previous four-game under streak that demonstrates this trend isn't foolproof.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.7 differential between Jones's 2.17 average and the 1.5 line creates clear mathematical advantage, supported by profitable 58.3% over rate. Extended rest allows Jones to maximize his three-point efficiency while maintaining energy for shot creation. Primary risk involves potential market correction and normal shooting variance that could interrupt the current momentum.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Tyus Jones props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyus Jones's 3-Pointers Made prop record 2+ days rest?
Tyus Jones posts a 7-5 over/under record (58.3% overs) on his Three Pointers Made prop with 2+ days rest across 12 games, averaging 2.17 makes against the typical 1.5 line for a +0.7 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyus Jones 3-Pointers Made 2+ days rest?
Lean over on Jones's Three Pointers Made with extended rest. His 2.17 average significantly exceeds the 1.5 line, creating mathematical edge supported by 58.3% over rate and +11.4% ROI in this specific situation.
What's Tyus Jones's average 3-Pointers Made 2+ days rest?
Jones averages 2.17 Three Pointers Made with 2+ days rest, beating the standard 1.5 line by 0.7 makes per game. This substantial differential indicates consistent market undervaluation in extended rest situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jones's Three Pointers Made props specifically when he has 2+ days rest between games. The extended preparation time consistently leads to improved three-point output, creating the most reliable betting edge in his prop portfolio.