Tyus Jones has been a consistent under performer on three-pointers made props with one day rest, hitting the over in just 30.6% of games (11-25-0 record). The -41.7% ROI on overs versus +32.6% on unders creates a clear betting edge. This trend strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a stark picture for Tyus Jones three-pointers made props on one day rest. Over 36 games, Jones has averaged just 1.33 makes against a typical 1.5 line, creating a meaningful -0.2 differential that translates to real betting value. The 30.6% over rate is significantly below the 50% break-even threshold needed for profitable over betting, while the contrasting ROI figures (-41.7% overs vs +32.6% unders) demonstrate consistent market inefficiency. Jones's role as a pass-first point guard becomes more pronounced with limited rest, as he tends to prioritize ball distribution over shot creation. The Wizards' pace and offensive system on back-to-back situations likely contribute to fewer quality three-point opportunities for Jones, who isn't typically featured as a primary scoring option. His longest under streak of seven games suggests this isn't random variance but a persistent pattern tied to his playing style and Washington's offensive priorities. The current one-game over streak appears to be an outlier rather than a trend reversal, especially given the overwhelming historical evidence favoring unders in this specific rest situation.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 30.6% over rate and -0.2 average differential create a substantial edge that's unlikely to be priced correctly by books. Target this prop when Jones faces one day rest, particularly in road games or against defensive teams that limit three-point attempts. The main risk is a potential role change or injury to teammates that forces more shot attempts, but his pass-first mentality makes this scenario unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyus Jones's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Tyus Jones has an 11-25-0 record on three-pointers made props with one day rest, hitting the over just 30.6% of the time. This represents a significant under-performance across 36 games from October 2023 through March 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyus Jones 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the under on Tyus Jones three-pointers made with one day rest. The 30.6% over rate and +32.6% ROI on unders create a clear mathematical edge that consistently profits long-term.
What's Tyus Jones's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Tyus Jones averages 1.33 three-pointers made with one day rest, which is 0.2 below the typical 1.5 line. This differential has proven consistent across 36 games and creates reliable betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyus Jones three-pointers made unders specifically when Washington plays with one day rest. Road games and matchups against strong perimeter defenses provide the strongest conditions for this trend to continue.