The under has been the play for Tyrese Nelson on Steals props all games. In 156 games, he's gone OVER just 30.9% of the time, averaging 0.81 against a 1.11 line. That's -0.29 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 42-94-20 O/U

30.9% Over Rate
0.81 Avg STL
1.11 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-41.0% Over ROI
156 Games
OVER 30.9%
UNDER 69.1%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 19.0% Over (11-47)
Away 39.7% Over (31-47)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 0.5 0% Over
Line > 0.5 30.9% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over (0-4)
Last 10 22.2% Over (2-7)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Tyrese Nelson Steals

The UNDER has returned +31.9% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tyrese Nelson's Steals prop record all games?

Tyrese Nelson has gone OVER on steals props in 42 of 156 games (30.9%) all games. The full O/U record is 42-94-20.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Nelson Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -41.0% ROI while the UNDER has returned +31.9% ROI in this spot.

What's Tyrese Nelson's average Steals all games?

Tyrese Nelson averages 0.81 steals all games, compared to an average prop line of 1.11. That's a differential of -0.3 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Tyrese Nelson?

This trend is based on 156 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-06 to 2025-06-25.

Methodology

This analysis covers 156 games from 2020-10-06 to 2025-06-25. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026