Tyrese Maxey's three-point prop presents a coin-flip scenario with a 5-5 over/under record across his last 10 games. His 2.8 average sits 0.3 makes below the typical 3.1 line, creating a slight mathematical edge toward unders despite the balanced recent results.
Expert Analysis
The balanced 5-5 record masks an important underlying trend in Maxey's three-point production. His 2.8 average over this 10-game stretch represents a notable decline from his season-long expectations, with the market still pricing him at 3.1 makes per game. This 0.3-make differential suggests either temporary shooting variance or a more fundamental shift in his role within Philadelphia's offense. The lack of extreme streaks—with longest runs of just two games in either direction—indicates Maxey's three-point output has been remarkably consistent around this lower baseline. Without additional context about his shot selection, usage rate, or Philadelphia's pace changes, this appears to be a case where the market hasn't fully adjusted to recent performance levels. The negative ROI on both sides reflects the typical juice, but the mathematical edge lies with the under given the consistent shortfall versus the line. However, three-point shooting is inherently volatile, and Maxey's talent level suggests positive regression remains possible. The key question becomes whether this 10-game sample represents a new normal or temporary variance that will correct upward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.3-make deficit between Maxey's recent average and the typical line creates mathematical value on the under, particularly given his consistent performance around the 2.8 level. Target unders when the line sits at 3.0 or higher, especially in games where Philadelphia faces strong perimeter defense that could limit his open looks.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Maxey's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Tyrese Maxey has gone 5-5 on three-pointers made props over his last 10 games, hitting the over exactly half the time. His balanced record reflects consistent performance around a specific level rather than wild variance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Maxey 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean under on Maxey's three-pointers made props. His 2.8 average sits 0.3 makes below typical lines, creating mathematical value on unders when the number is set at 3.0 or higher.
What's Tyrese Maxey's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Maxey is averaging 2.8 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which sits 0.3 makes below the standard 3.1 line. This consistent shortfall suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his recent output.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Maxey three-point unders when facing elite perimeter defenses or when the line is set at 3.0 or higher. His recent 2.8 average provides the best value against inflated numbers.