Tyrese Maxey shows a modest home court edge for three-pointers made, hitting the over in 54.5% of home games with an 18-15 record. The +0.2 differential above typical lines creates a small but consistent advantage. Lean over on Maxey's three-point props at home venues.
Expert Analysis
The Wells Fargo Center provides Tyrese Maxey with a subtle but meaningful shooting environment that translates to slightly elevated three-point production. His 3.18 average at home represents a 6.7% increase over his typical line setting of 2.98, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted for this venue-specific boost. The 54.5% over rate across 33 games provides a solid sample size that indicates genuine home court shooting comfort rather than random variance. Maxey's three-point attempts likely increase at home due to crowd energy and familiar rim depth perception, two factors that particularly benefit rhythm shooters. The +4.1% ROI on overs demonstrates this edge has been profitable for bettors, while the -13.2% under ROI shows the market consistently undervalues his home three-point ceiling. However, the recent two-game under streak and the fact that both his longest over and under streaks reached five games suggests this trend experiences natural regression periods. The key risk lies in Maxey's shot selection varying based on game flow and Joel Embiid's availability, which can dramatically alter his usage patterns and three-point opportunities regardless of venue.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54.5% hit rate and +0.2 line differential create a sustainable edge in Maxey's favor at home. Target games where Philadelphia faces uptempo opponents or when Embiid is questionable, as both scenarios typically increase Maxey's three-point volume. The main risk is his streaky nature and potential reduced usage in blowouts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Tyrese Maxey props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Maxey's 3-Pointers Made prop record home games?
Maxey's three-pointers made prop has gone over in 18 of 33 home games (54.5%) with 15 unders. His home average of 3.18 made threes consistently beats typical line settings of 2.98.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Maxey 3-Pointers Made home games?
Bet over on Maxey's three-pointers made at home. The 54.5% over rate and +4.1% ROI provide a legitimate edge, especially when facing uptempo opponents or with Embiid's status uncertain.
What's Tyrese Maxey's average 3-Pointers Made home games?
Maxey averages 3.18 three-pointers made in home games compared to typical lines of 2.98. This +0.2 differential represents a 6.7% boost above market expectations at Wells Fargo Center.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Maxey three-point overs during home games against high-pace teams or when Embiid is questionable. These conditions maximize his shot attempts while the home venue provides his strongest shooting environment.