Tyrese Maxey has delivered exceptional playmaking value over his last 10 games, hitting the over at a 60% clip while averaging 6.9 assists against a 6.2 line. The +0.7 differential and +14.6% ROI on overs signals sustainable upside in Philadelphia's evolving offense.
Expert Analysis
Maxey's assist surge reflects his natural evolution as Philadelphia's primary initiator, particularly with Joel Embiid's ongoing injury concerns forcing more creation responsibility onto the young guard. The 6.9 average represents a meaningful jump from his season norm, but the consistency is notable — this isn't driven by outlier performances but rather steady production in an expanded role. Philadelphia's pace and offensive structure have shifted to accommodate Maxey's skill set, with more pick-and-roll opportunities and secondary creation duties. The 60% over rate suggests books are still catching up to this role expansion, creating line value. However, the recent 2-game over streak following a 3-game under run indicates some volatility remains. The key concern is regression as Embiid returns and reclaims offensive touches, potentially reducing Maxey's assist opportunities. Yet even in a reduced role, Maxey has shown improved court vision and decision-making that should maintain elevated assist levels compared to his historical baseline.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Maxey's expanded playmaking role appears sustainable even as Philadelphia's roster stabilizes, and the 6.9 average suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his increased creation responsibilities. Target overs in games where Philadelphia faces uptempo opponents or when Embiid's status remains uncertain. The main risk is role reduction as the 76ers get healthier, but Maxey's improved passing should maintain value above current lines.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-05 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 6.5 | 3.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 11.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Maxey's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Maxey has gone over his assists prop in 6 of his last 10 games for a 60% over rate, with 4 unders. He's currently on a 2-game over streak after hitting a 3-game under run earlier in the sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Maxey Assists last 10 games?
Lean over on Maxey's assists props. His 6.9 average beats the typical 6.2 line by 0.7 assists, and his expanded playmaking role with Philadelphia creates sustainable upside that books haven't fully recognized.
What's Tyrese Maxey's average Assists last 10 games?
Maxey is averaging 6.9 assists over his last 10 games compared to the standard 6.2 line, creating a +0.7 differential. This represents a meaningful increase from his typical production levels this season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Maxey assist overs when Philadelphia faces uptempo opponents or when Embiid's availability is questionable. His expanded creation role in these scenarios maximizes assist opportunities and provides the best betting value.