Tyrese Haliburton has been a three-point machine over his last 10 games, hitting the over at a 70% clip with a 7-3-0 record. The Indiana guard is averaging 3.4 made threes against a 2.7 line, creating a +0.7 differential that translates to impressive +33.6% ROI on overs. This represents a strong betting edge worth targeting.
Expert Analysis
Haliburton's three-point surge reflects his evolution into Indiana's primary offensive engine and the Pacers' uptempo system that generates abundant perimeter looks. The 3.4 average against a 2.7 line isn't just statistical noise—it represents a fundamental shift in how opposing defenses approach the Pacers' offense. Teams are prioritizing stopping Indiana's interior attack and transition game, leaving Haliburton with cleaner looks from deep. His shot selection has also improved dramatically, with better spacing from teammates creating higher-quality attempts. The consistency is remarkable: even during the recent one-game under streak, Haliburton maintained his aggressive three-point approach. Indiana's pace-and-space offense under Rick Carlisle maximizes Haliburton's skill set, particularly his ability to create separation off screens and pull up in transition. The 70% over rate suggests this isn't just hot shooting but a sustainable pattern driven by role expansion and system optimization. Regression concerns exist given the sample size, but Haliburton's underlying usage and shot quality metrics support continued success. The key risk is potential rest games or blowout situations where his minutes get capped, but Indiana's competitive schedule should maintain his aggressive approach.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Haliburton's 3.4 average against the 2.7 line represents genuine value driven by his expanded role and Indiana's system. The 70% over rate reflects sustainable factors rather than variance. Target this prop in competitive games where Haliburton projects for 32+ minutes and avoid potential rest situations. The +0.7 differential provides meaningful edge despite regression risk.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Haliburton has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 7 of his last 10 games for a 70% success rate. His 7-3-0 over/under record has generated +33.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Haliburton's three-pointers made props. His 3.4 average against typical 2.7 lines creates meaningful value, supported by Indiana's system and his expanded role. Target competitive games with full minutes projection.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Haliburton is averaging 3.4 made three-pointers over his last 10 games, which sits 0.7 above the typical 2.7 line. This differential represents significant value and explains the strong 70% over rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton three-point props in competitive games where he projects for 32+ minutes. Avoid potential rest games or blowout situations. His success rate is highest in uptempo contests that maximize Indiana's offensive possessions.