Tyrese Haliburton's three-pointer props offer minimal edge with a 47.8% over rate across 69 games, averaging 3.03 makes against a 2.91 line. The modest +0.1 differential and poor -8.7% over ROI suggest books have this number dialed in correctly. Lean under based on the data.
Expert Analysis
Haliburton's three-point prop presents a classic case of efficient market pricing, where the sportsbooks have accurately assessed his output. The 3.03 average against a 2.91 line creates only a marginal 0.1 make differential, insufficient to overcome juice consistently. The 47.8% over rate falls short of the 52.4% needed to profit on standard -110 odds, resulting in the damaging -8.7% ROI on overs. This suggests Haliburton operates within a relatively tight range around his prop number, with neither explosive upside nor consistent floor concerns. The streak data reveals volatility with a longest over streak of 5 games versus 7 consecutive unders, indicating his three-point volume can experience meaningful cold stretches. Without situational splits to identify favorable spots, bettors face a player whose output closely mirrors bookmaker expectations. The slight under bias in recent form, combined with the historical under performance, suggests oddsmakers may be pricing in Haliburton's ceiling rather than his median outcome. This creates a subtle but persistent edge toward the under, particularly when the line sits at or above 3.0 makes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 47.8% over rate and -8.7% over ROI indicate systematic under performance relative to the prop line. Haliburton's 3.03 average provides minimal cushion above the typical 2.91 line, suggesting books price this accurately. Target unders when the line reaches 3.0 or higher, as his floor appears more reliable than his ceiling. The main risk is positive regression toward the 50% mark.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Tyrese Haliburton props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Haliburton has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 33 of 69 games (47.8%) with an average of 3.03 makes. His under record stands at 36-33, showing slight under bias across the full sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean under on Haliburton's three-pointer props. The 47.8% over rate and -8.7% over ROI indicate consistent under performance. Target unders when the line reaches 3.0 or higher for best value.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Haliburton averages 3.03 three-pointers made per game against a typical line of 2.91. This creates only a modest +0.1 differential, suggesting the market has accurately priced his expected output.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton three-pointer unders when the line sits at 3.0 or above. Without situational splits available, focus on games where his prop appears inflated relative to his 3.03 season average.