Tyrese Haliburton's rebounding props on one day of rest present a clear underdog opportunity with just 41.9% overs across 43 games. His 3.84 average sits slightly below the typical 3.9 line, generating an 11.0% ROI betting unders. The data strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
Haliburton's rebounding struggles on standard rest reveal the limitations of his 6'5" frame in a guard-heavy Pacers system that prioritizes pace over glass work. The 18-25 over/under record isn't just bad luck—it reflects systematic factors that consistently suppress his rebounding output. When operating on one day of rest, Haliburton appears more focused on his primary responsibilities of playmaking and perimeter defense, leaving rebounds to Indiana's bigger bodies like Myles Turner and Pascal Siakam. The -0.1 differential between his actual average and the betting line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to this pattern, creating exploitable value. The current two-game under streak aligns with his historical tendency toward longer under runs, including a five-game stretch. Most telling is the 11.0% ROI on unders versus the brutal -20.1% loss rate on overs—a 31-point spread that signals genuine predictive value rather than random variance. Indiana's up-tempo style actually works against Haliburton's rebounding numbers, as quick possessions limit second-chance opportunities where guards typically accumulate boards.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 11.0% under ROI and consistent 3.84 average create sustainable value against the 3.9 line. Haliburton's role as primary facilitator limits his crashing frequency on standard rest, making unders the logical play. Main risk is a pace-up game creating extra possessions, but the 43-game sample provides solid conviction in this edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Rebounds prop record 1 day rest?
Haliburton goes 18-25 on rebounds overs with one day rest, hitting just 41.9% of the time. His actual average of 3.84 rebounds consistently falls short of the typical 3.9 betting line across 43 documented games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Rebounds 1 day rest?
Bet the under. The 11.0% ROI on unders combined with his 3.84 average versus 3.9 lines creates clear value. His guard role in Indiana's system consistently limits rebounding opportunities on standard rest.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Rebounds 1 day rest?
Haliburton averages 3.84 rebounds on one day of rest, sitting 0.1 boards below the standard 3.9 line. This small but consistent gap has generated profitable under opportunities across 43 games dating back to October 2023.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton rebounding unders specifically on one day of rest when the line sits at 3.5 or higher. Avoid pace-up spots against teams like Sacramento or Phoenix where extra possessions could inflate his numbers.