Haliburton's rebounding props present a clear under opportunity with a 42.0% over rate (29-40-0 record) and negative 0.03 differential versus the line. The consistent underperformance generates +10.7% ROI on unders while overs lose at -19.8%. Lean Under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Haliburton's rebounding struggles stem from his role as Indiana's primary facilitator and his physical limitations as a 6'5" guard who prioritizes ball movement over crashing the boards. His 3.86 average sits just below the typical 3.89 line, but the consistency of underperformance tells the deeper story. Haliburton's rebounding rate has remained stagnant as he focuses on orchestrating Indiana's pace-heavy offense, often releasing early to initiate fast breaks rather than battling for boards. The Pacers' system emphasizes quick possessions and transition opportunities, naturally limiting Haliburton's rebounding chances as he's frequently the first player sprinting upcourt. His slight frame also puts him at a disadvantage against bigger guards and forwards in rebounding situations. The 58% under rate across 69 games demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting this isn't variance but a fundamental aspect of his playing style. Indiana's improved frontcourt depth has further reduced his need to contribute significantly on the glass, making the under trend likely to persist.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Haliburton's 42.0% over rate and +10.7% under ROI reflect his role prioritization and physical limitations in rebounding situations. The consistency across 69 games suggests this trend has staying power rather than being a temporary anomaly. Target unders when the line sits at 4.0 or higher, as his 3.86 average provides cushion. Main risk is blowout games where garbage time could inflate his rebounding opportunities unexpectedly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Rebounds prop record all games?
Haliburton's rebounding props show a 29-40-0 record (42.0% overs) across 69 games from October 2023 to April 2025. This 58% under rate demonstrates consistent underperformance against oddsmakers' expectations, generating significant value on the under side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Rebounds all games?
Bet under on Haliburton's rebounding props. His 42.0% over rate and +10.7% under ROI indicate systematic underperformance. His facilitator role and early transition releases consistently limit rebounding opportunities, making unders the profitable long-term play.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Rebounds all games?
Haliburton averages 3.86 rebounds per game, sitting 0.03 below the typical 3.89 line. While this differential appears minimal, the consistency of underperformance (58% under rate) makes this slight gap significant for betting purposes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton rebounding unders when lines are set at 4.0 or higher, providing maximum cushion against his 3.86 average. Avoid during potential blowouts where garbage time could inflate his opportunities, but otherwise the trend shows strong consistency.