Tyrese Haliburton's points props present a clear under opportunity with just 44.3% overs hitting across 70 games. His 20.59 average sits 0.8 points below typical lines, generating +6.4% ROI on unders versus -15.4% on overs. The data strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Haliburton's scoring props reveal a systematic underperformance that creates genuine betting value. With only 31 overs in 70 games, the 44.3% hit rate falls well below the 52.4% needed for standard -110 profitability. The 0.8-point gap between his 20.59 average and typical 21.39 lines suggests oddsmakers consistently overvalue his scoring output. This isn't a small sample fluke—70 games provide substantial evidence of a persistent pattern. Haliburton's role as Indiana's primary facilitator often limits his shot attempts, particularly when the Pacers establish early leads or face pace-down opponents. His unselfish nature and emphasis on creating for teammates naturally caps his scoring ceiling. The current two-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern, where he's posted seven consecutive unders at his longest stretch. Unlike volume scorers who force shots regardless of game flow, Haliburton adapts his aggression based on team needs, making his scoring more variable and often disappointing for over bettors who expect consistent 22+ point outputs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 6.4% ROI on unders combined with Haliburton's facilitator-first mentality creates a sustainable edge. Target games where Indiana faces strong defenses or slower-paced opponents that naturally limit possessions. The main risk lies in potential role changes if injuries force Haliburton into more aggressive scoring, but his current usage pattern strongly favors continued under performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 21.5 | 9.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-04 | OPP | 19.5 | 17.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 18.5 | 22.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 18.5 | 18.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 18.5 | 29.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 19.5 | 19.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 18.5 | 17.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 17.5 | 35.0 | +17.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 18.5 | 12.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 18.5 | 19.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 19.5 | 30.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 18.5 | 12.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 19.5 | 8.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 19.5 | 24.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 18.5 | 27.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Points Prop Lines
Compare Tyrese Haliburton props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Points prop record all games?
Haliburton's points props show 31-39-0 over/under record across 70 games, hitting overs just 44.3% of the time. This 31-39 split demonstrates consistent underperformance against typical betting lines throughout the season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Points all games?
Bet under on Haliburton's points props. The data shows clear under value with +6.4% ROI compared to -15.4% losses on overs. His facilitator role and 20.59 average versus 21.39 lines create sustainable edge.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Points all games?
Haliburton averages 20.59 points per game across all situations. This sits 0.8 points below his typical betting line of 21.39, creating a meaningful gap that consistently favors under bettors over the 70-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton points unders against strong defenses or slower-paced teams that limit possessions. His facilitator-first approach becomes more pronounced when Indiana's offense flows through ball movement rather than individual scoring.