Tyrese Haliburton's blocks prop shows modest over value at home, hitting 54.2% (13-11) with a +0.2 differential versus the 0.5 line. The 0.71 home average creates consistent but narrow edges. This represents a lean over opportunity with limited upside.
Expert Analysis
Haliburton's home blocks performance reveals an intriguing pattern for a point guard who averages 0.71 blocks per game against a standard 0.5 line. The 54.2% over rate suggests legitimate skill-based consistency rather than random variance, particularly impressive given how difficult blocks are to predict for guards. The +0.2 differential indicates the market may be slightly undervaluing his defensive activity at home, where comfort with defensive rotations and familiarity with sight lines can enhance anticipation. However, the modest 3.4% ROI over suggests this edge is razor-thin, while the -12.5% under ROI indicates significant juice working against under bettors. The two-game over streak aligns with his three-game over peak, suggesting sustainable performance rather than unsustainable hot streaks. For a guard, even 0.7 blocks per game represents solid defensive awareness, but the low absolute numbers mean single-game variance remains high. The lack of split data limits deeper insights, but home court advantage in defensive positioning and communication likely drives this slight edge. The 24-game sample provides reasonable confidence in the pattern's legitimacy.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Haliburton's 0.71 home average creates consistent value against the 0.5 line, supported by a legitimate 54.2% hit rate over 24 games. The narrow edge requires selective betting when lines are favorable and juice is minimized. Primary risk remains the inherent volatility of blocks props for guards, where defensive game flow can quickly shift outcomes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Blocks prop record home games?
Haliburton's blocks prop at home shows a 13-11 over record (54.2%) across 24 games, with an average of 0.71 blocks versus the typical 0.5 line, creating a consistent +0.2 differential in his favor.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Blocks home games?
Lean over on Haliburton's blocks at home. His 0.71 average beats the 0.5 line 54.2% of the time, but the narrow edge requires selective betting when juice is favorable and you can get the best number.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Blocks home games?
Haliburton averages 0.71 blocks per game at home compared to the standard 0.5 line, creating a +0.2 differential. This 42% edge over the betting line has translated to consistent over performance across 24 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton blocks overs at home when you can secure -105 or better juice on the 0.5 line. Avoid when facing defensive-minded opponents who limit transition opportunities where guards typically accumulate blocks.