Tyrese Haliburton's assists prop shows clear under value in away games, hitting just 45.5% overs across 33 games with a -0.3 average differential to the line. The 4.1% ROI on unders combined with consistent underperformance suggests books haven't fully adjusted. Lean under on road spots.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Haliburton's road assist production reveals a meaningful edge that sharps have been exploiting quietly. The 15-18 over/under record translates to hitting unders 54.5% of the time, which creates sustainable value when books consistently set lines 0.3 assists above his actual average. This isn't a massive gap, but it's persistent enough to generate positive ROI over 33 games. The -13.2% ROI on overs tells the story of inflated expectations, likely driven by Haliburton's elite home court facilitation that doesn't translate as cleanly on the road. Road environments typically challenge point guards through unfamiliar rim angles affecting shooting percentages, tighter defensive schemes from prepared home teams, and subtle pace changes that can disrupt rhythm. Haliburton's 10.61 road average suggests he's still an elite facilitator away from home, but the consistent gap between expectation and reality creates opportunity. The fact that this trend spans from November 2023 through April 2025 indicates structural factors rather than random variance. Books appear slow to adjust, possibly because Haliburton's overall assist numbers remain impressive enough to maintain inflated lines. The longest under streak of five games shows this isn't just small sample noise—there are extended periods where road conditions consistently impact his distribution.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 54.5% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, though the -0.3 differential isn't massive enough for high conviction. Target road games against defensively disciplined home teams where pace could slow and assist opportunities decrease. Main risk is Haliburton's elite talent eventually overcoming road challenges, but 33 games suggests this is structural rather than temporary.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 10.5 | 14.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 9.5 | 3.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 10.5 | 6.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 9.5 | 12.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 10.5 | 5.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 11.5 | 5.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 10.5 | 9.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 10.5 | 11.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 10.5 | 9.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 10.5 | 8.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 10.5 | 11.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Tyrese Haliburton props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Assists prop record away games?
Tyrese Haliburton's assists prop in away games shows a 15-18-0 over/under record, meaning unders hit 54.5% of the time across 33 games. This translates to consistent value on the under side with a 4.1% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Assists away games?
Bet under on Tyrese Haliburton's assists in away games. The 54.5% under rate and positive 4.1% ROI over 33 games creates sustainable value, especially when his road average sits 0.3 assists below typical line settings.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Assists away games?
Tyrese Haliburton averages 10.61 assists in away games compared to typical lines around 10.86, creating a -0.3 differential. While still elite production, this consistent gap between expectation and reality generates betting value on unders.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyrese Haliburton assist unders in road games against defensively disciplined home teams where pace might slow. The 33-game sample shows this edge is structural rather than temporary, making any away game a potential opportunity.