Tre Jones delivers exceptional value on three-pointers made props with one day of rest, hitting overs at a 58.3% clip (14-10-0) while averaging 1.08 makes against a typical 0.54 line. This +0.5 differential represents a significant edge that warrants strong consideration on future overs.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a compelling pattern in Tre Jones's three-point shooting when operating on one day of rest. His 1.08 average against the standard 0.54 line creates a massive +0.5 differential that translates to consistent profitability, generating an 11.4% ROI on overs across 24 games. This edge likely stems from the sweet spot of recovery time — enough rest to maintain shooting mechanics and legs under his shots, but not so much time off that rhythm suffers. Jones, primarily a facilitator, benefits from the structured preparation that one day of rest provides, allowing him to identify and capitalize on the limited three-point opportunities that come his way. The 58.3% over rate demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting this isn't random variance but a legitimate situational advantage. While the current two-game under streak might create hesitation, it represents normal fluctuation within a larger profitable trend. The key concern is sample size sustainability and whether sportsbooks will adjust lines more aggressively as this pattern becomes apparent. However, given Jones's role as a secondary option, his three-point props may not receive the same sharp attention as primary scorers.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.5 differential between Jones's 1.08 average and typical 0.54 lines creates genuine value, supported by a 58.3% over rate and positive ROI. Target this spot when lines remain at 0.5, as the mathematical edge is clear. The main risk is small sample size and potential line adjustments, but the underlying factors suggest continued profitability.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tre Jones's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Tre Jones goes over his three-pointers made prop 58.3% of the time with one day rest, posting a 14-10-0 record across 24 games from January to April 2024, generating an 11.4% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tre Jones 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Tre Jones three-pointers made with one day rest. His 1.08 average significantly exceeds typical 0.5 lines, creating a +0.5 mathematical edge that has proven profitable long-term.
What's Tre Jones's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Tre Jones averages 1.08 three-pointers made with one day rest compared to the standard 0.54 line, creating a substantial +0.5 differential that represents genuine value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tre Jones three-point props specifically when he has one day of rest and lines remain at 0.5. This combination provides the optimal mathematical edge with his 1.08 average in these situations.