Tre Jones delivers exceptional assist value on one day of rest, posting a dominant 16-10 over record (61.5%) with a +0.7 differential above the typical 6.92 line. The 17.5% ROI on overs across 26 games represents a clear statistical edge that warrants aggressive over betting.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Tre Jones's assist production following exactly one day of rest. His 7.58 average in these spots represents a meaningful 9.5% boost over his typical line, suggesting the brief recovery period optimizes his court vision and decision-making without the rust that longer breaks can create. The consistency is particularly striking — Jones has managed just two consecutive under performances at most, while rattling off six straight overs during his peak stretch. This pattern indicates a player whose playmaking abilities are genuinely enhanced by this specific rest scenario rather than random variance. The 61.5% over rate across 26 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the -26.6% under ROI demonstrates how consistently the market undervalues Jones in this spot. San Antonio's pace and offensive system clearly benefit from having their primary facilitator operating at peak mental sharpness, as one day provides enough recovery to eliminate fatigue while maintaining game rhythm. The trend's persistence throughout the sample period suggests this isn't a temporary anomaly but rather a genuine edge in how Jones responds to this rest pattern.
Betting Verdict
OVER with HIGH confidence. Tre Jones's 61.5% over rate on one day rest represents one of the clearest assistant prop edges available, backed by a robust 26-game sample and consistent 0.7 differential above market lines. The ideal conditions are straightforward — any game where Jones has exactly one day of rest warrants immediate over consideration. The primary risk is potential lineup changes or blowout scenarios that could limit his minutes, but the underlying trend remains exceptionally reliable.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 4.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 6.5 | 4.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 6.5 | 11.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 6.5 | 12.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 7.5 | 2.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tre Jones's Assists prop record 1 day rest?
Tre Jones has gone over his assists prop 16 times and under 10 times on one day rest, producing a 61.5% over rate. This 16-10 record across 26 games represents one of the most reliable assistant prop trends in the market.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tre Jones Assists 1 day rest?
Bet the over on Tre Jones assists when he has one day rest. The 61.5% hit rate and +17.5% ROI make this a high-confidence play, especially given the consistent 0.7 differential above typical lines.
What's Tre Jones's average Assists 1 day rest?
Tre Jones averages 7.58 assists on one day rest compared to his typical 6.92 line, creating a significant +0.7 edge. This 9.5% boost above market expectations has proven remarkably consistent across the 26-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
The optimal time to bet Tre Jones assists props is when he has exactly one day of rest. This specific scenario produces his highest over rate at 61.5% with exceptional consistency and market-beating ROI.