Trae Young's assists props present a compelling over opportunity with a 61.6% hit rate across 73 games and a +17.7% ROI. His 11.19 average consistently beats the typical 10.47 line by 0.7 assists, creating sustainable value for disciplined bettors backing the over.
Expert Analysis
Trae Young's assists dominance stems from his unique role as Atlanta's primary facilitator and his exceptional court vision that translates to consistent production above market expectations. The 61.6% over rate isn't coincidental—it reflects Young's ability to generate assists through multiple avenues including pick-and-roll orchestration, transition opportunities, and late-game situations where his playmaking becomes even more crucial. The +0.7 differential between his actual average and typical lines suggests oddsmakers consistently undervalue his assist ceiling, likely influenced by his scoring reputation overshadowing his elite passing skills. The sustainability of this trend appears strong given Young's usage rate and Atlanta's offensive system that maximizes his assist opportunities. His three-game over streak aligns with historical patterns showing he can string together multiple high-assist performances. The most concerning factor is the -26.8% under ROI, indicating that when Young fails to hit overs, he tends to fall significantly short, suggesting volatile floor games exist. However, the frequency of overs combined with the positive differential creates a mathematical edge that favors consistent over betting despite occasional disappointing performances.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Young's 61.6% over rate and +0.7 average differential create legitimate value, particularly when his usage remains high and Atlanta faces pace-up spots. The +17.7% over ROI demonstrates profitable opportunity, though the volatile under performances require selective timing rather than blind betting every game.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | OPP | 12.5 | 15.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-25 | OPP | 9.5 | 12.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-22 | OPP | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-18 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-16 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-12 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-08 | OPP | 11.5 | 8.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-06 | OPP | 11.5 | 16.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-03 | OPP | 10.5 | 15.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-28 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-23 | OPP | 10.5 | 13.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-08 | OPP | 10.5 | 14.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-05 | OPP | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-03 | OPP | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
Compare Trae Young props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trae Young's Assists prop record all games?
Trae Young's assists props show a 45-28-0 over/under record across 73 games, hitting overs at a 61.6% clip with a +17.7% ROI for over bettors and -26.8% for under backers.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trae Young Assists all games?
Bet the over on Trae Young's assists props. His 61.6% over rate and +0.7 average differential above typical lines create sustainable value, especially in favorable pace and usage spots.
What's Trae Young's average Assists all games?
Trae Young averages 11.19 assists per game across all situations, consistently beating the typical 10.47 line by 0.7 assists, demonstrating his playmaking consistently exceeds market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Trae Young assists overs when Atlanta faces pace-up matchups or when his usage rate projects high due to injuries or game script favoring his primary facilitator role.