Toumani Camara's three-pointers made prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 42.9% overs across 21 games. Despite averaging 1.29 makes against a 1.21 line, the under delivers +9.1% ROI while overs hemorrhage -18.2%. The data strongly favors betting under on Camara's three-point props.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Toumani Camara's three-point variance and market inefficiency. While Camara's 1.29 average slightly exceeds the typical 1.21 line, this modest 0.08 edge masks significant volatility that favors under bettors. The 42.9% over rate indicates books are setting lines too optimistically, likely influenced by Camara's defensive reputation and occasional hot shooting nights that skew perception. As a role player averaging just over one make per game, Camara operates in the danger zone where a single missed attempt dramatically impacts outcomes. His shooting comes largely from catch-and-shoot opportunities in Portland's offense, making him dependent on both shot creation from teammates and his own rhythm. The -18.2% ROI on overs suggests recreational bettors consistently overvalue his three-point ceiling, creating line value for sharp under action. Without specific matchup or situational splits available, the baseline trend becomes even more reliable since it encompasses all game contexts. Camara's current two-game over streak shouldn't deter under betting, as his longest over streak maxed at just two games while under streaks reached three. The consistency of under performance across a 21-game sample provides strong conviction that this edge will persist.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 57.1% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge despite the small sample size. Camara's role as a complementary player limits his three-point volume and consistency, making the under the mathematically superior play. The primary risk lies in potential role expansion or exceptionally favorable shooting matchups that could temporarily inflate his output.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Toumani Camara's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Camara's three-pointers made prop shows a 9-12-0 over/under record across 21 games, hitting overs just 42.9% of the time. This translates to 57.1% unders, demonstrating consistent value on the under side of his three-point props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Toumani Camara 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Camara's three-pointers made props. The 57.1% under rate combined with +9.1% ROI on unders versus -18.2% losses on overs creates a clear mathematical edge favoring under bets in this market.
What's Toumani Camara's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Camara averages 1.29 three-pointers made per game against a typical line of 1.21, creating a small +0.08 differential. However, this modest average advantage doesn't translate to profitable over betting due to high variance around the low total.
How reliable is this trend?
Focus on under bets during Camara's baseline role games without specific matchup advantages. Avoid betting during potential over streaks longer than two games, and prioritize unders when he's coming off shooting struggles or facing strong perimeter defenses.