Tobias Harris has hit the three-pointer over in exactly half his last 10 games (5-5-0), averaging 1.7 makes against a typical 1.5 line. The modest +0.2 differential suggests marginal over value, but negative ROI on both sides indicates efficient market pricing with limited edge available.
Expert Analysis
Harris's three-point production over this 10-game stretch reveals a player operating near his expected output with minimal predictable variance. The 1.7 average against the standard 1.5 line creates a theoretical edge, but the perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides tells a more complex story. Detroit's improved pace and Harris's role as a floor-spacer should theoretically support consistent attempts, yet his shooting percentage appears to be the primary variable driving outcomes rather than volume. The current streak of one under suggests recent regression from his season averages, which could indicate either cooling off or natural variance. Harris has shown the ability to string together multiple overs (longest streak of 3) but also demonstrates consistency in hitting unders when his shot isn't falling. The lack of significant split advantages or situational edges makes this a relatively efficient market where books have accurately priced his expected output. Detroit's offensive system relies on Harris as a complementary shooter rather than a primary three-point weapon, creating a ceiling on his upside while maintaining a reasonable floor. Without clear matchup-specific advantages or rest-related patterns, this prop appears to be trading close to fair value.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate the market has efficiently priced Harris's three-point output. While the 1.7 average suggests slight over value against the 1.5 line, the lack of meaningful edge and current under streak make this a coin flip proposition best avoided until clearer patterns emerge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tobias Harris's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Harris has gone 5-5-0 on his three-pointer over/under in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% overs. He's averaging 1.7 makes per game against the typical 1.5 line, showing a slight positive differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tobias Harris 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Pass on this prop. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate the market has efficiently priced Harris's output, making this essentially a coin flip with no clear edge.
What's Tobias Harris's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Harris is averaging 1.7 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, which is 0.2 above the standard 1.5 line. This modest differential suggests slight over value but hasn't translated to profitable betting results.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Harris's three-point props until clearer situational edges emerge. The current data shows no meaningful splits or matchup advantages, making timing largely irrelevant given the efficient market pricing.