Tobias Harris has been a consistent under performer on three-pointers made in away games, hitting the over just 40.9% of the time across 22 games with a -21.9% ROI on overs. His 1.68 average barely exceeds typical lines, creating sustainable value on unders.
Expert Analysis
Harris's away three-point struggles stem from Detroit's offensive limitations and his reduced shot creation opportunities on the road. The Pistons rank among the league's worst in offensive rating away from home, forcing Harris into more contested looks and disrupting his rhythm. His 1.68 average represents a modest 0.2 edge over standard lines, but the consistency of his underperformance suggests books haven't fully adjusted. The trend shows remarkable persistence with only 9 overs in 22 games, indicating systemic issues rather than random variance. Harris's role as a complementary scorer becomes more pronounced in hostile environments where Detroit's primary creators struggle. The four-game under streak represents his longest cold stretch, but given the underlying factors, regression seems unlikely without significant roster changes. Road games amplify Harris's tendency to defer, particularly when the Pistons fall behind early, which happens frequently given their poor away record. The sample size provides strong confidence, and the negative ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't caught up to this inefficiency.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Harris's 40.9% over rate and -21.9% ROI on overs in away games creates clear value on unders. The trend appears sustainable given Detroit's road offensive struggles and Harris's complementary role. Target unders when the Pistons face strong defensive teams or in back-to-back situations where his legs might be compromised.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tobias Harris's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Harris has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 9 of 22 away games (40.9% rate) this season, producing a -21.9% ROI for over bettors while under bettors have enjoyed a +12.8% return.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tobias Harris 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet under on Harris's three-pointers made in away games. His 40.9% over rate and -21.9% ROI on overs creates clear value, especially given Detroit's road offensive struggles that limit his shot quality.
What's Tobias Harris's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Harris averages 1.68 three-pointers made in away games, just 0.23 above typical 1.45 lines. This modest edge combined with his poor over rate makes unders attractive despite the small differential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Harris three-pointer unders in away games against strong defensive teams or during back-to-back situations. His struggles are amplified when Detroit faces quality defenses or when fatigue affects his shooting mechanics.