Stephen Curry's three-pointers made prop on one day rest presents a perfectly balanced 19-19 record with a 50.0% over rate across 38 games. His 4.61 average sits just 0.07 makes below the typical 4.68 line, creating a razor-thin edge that suggests this is a coin flip situation worth avoiding.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals Stephen Curry operates with remarkable consistency on standard rest, but this consistency works against bettors rather than for them. His 4.61 average on one day rest represents a minimal 1.5% decrease from his typical line, indicating that oddsmakers have accurately calibrated this prop. The perfectly even 19-19 split across 38 games demonstrates that external factors like opponent defense, game pace, and shot variance create enough noise to make this prop essentially random. What's particularly telling is the -4.5% ROI on both sides, suggesting the juice is eating into any potential edge. The current two-game over streak might tempt momentum bettors, but with longest streaks capping at just four games in either direction, regression lurks constantly. Curry's three-point shooting remains elite regardless of rest, but the marginal impact of one day rest versus other rest patterns appears negligible. This creates a situation where you're essentially betting on game flow, opponent pace, and shooting variance rather than any meaningful rest-related edge. The Warriors' offensive system ensures Curry gets quality looks regardless of his physical state after standard rest, making this prop more about external game factors than Curry's individual performance patterns.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence on any specific direction. This represents a perfectly efficient market where the 50.0% over rate and minimal line differential indicate no exploitable edge exists. The -4.5% ROI on both sides confirms that juice eliminates any marginal advantage. Focus betting capital on props with clearer directional edges rather than this coin flip scenario.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 0.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Stephen Curry's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Stephen Curry has gone 19-19 on three-pointers made props with one day rest, hitting exactly 50.0% of overs across 38 games from November 2023 through April 2024, demonstrating perfectly balanced performance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Stephen Curry 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Pass on Stephen Curry's three-pointers made prop with one day rest. The 50.0% over rate and -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate no edge exists, making this a coin flip where juice works against you.
What's Stephen Curry's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Stephen Curry averages 4.61 three-pointers made on one day rest compared to the typical 4.68 line, creating just a 0.07 make differential that represents minimal practical difference for betting purposes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Stephen Curry three-point props in pace-up spots against poor perimeter defenses or when the Warriors are significant underdogs, as these create clearer directional edges than standard rest situations.