Stephen Curry's blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 30% over the last 10 games with a devastating -42.7% ROI on overs. The 0.6 average against a typical 0.5 line creates a false sense of value while consistently disappointing. This is a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
Curry's blocks trend reveals a classic case of market inefficiency where the modest 0.1 differential above the line masks the true betting reality. Point guards averaging 0.6 blocks typically see more volatile outcomes, but Curry's defensive positioning as the Warriors' primary ball-handler limits his shot-blocking opportunities. The 30% over rate indicates books are setting lines that appear beatable but consistently trap over bettors. The current streak of one under follows a brutal five-game under run, suggesting this isn't random variance but systematic underperformance in blocks production. Curry's role focuses on perimeter defense and generating steals rather than rim protection, making blocks an inconsistent secondary stat. The -42.7% ROI on overs represents significant market overvaluation, likely driven by Curry's superstar status inflating all his prop lines. With Golden State's pace and Curry's minutes remaining relatively stable, this trend appears sustainable rather than due for regression. The Warriors' defensive scheme rarely puts Curry in positions where blocks naturally occur, making this more about role than recent form.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 70% under rate and +33.6% ROI on unders creates a clear edge despite the modest average differential. Curry's defensive role simply doesn't generate consistent blocks, and the market continues overvaluing this prop. Target this when the line sits at 0.5, as Curry's positioning and defensive responsibilities make blocks an unreliable stat for him.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Stephen Curry's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Stephen Curry has gone under his blocks prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70% under rate) with a 3-7-0 over/under record. This represents one of the more consistent under trends among star players recently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Stephen Curry Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Stephen Curry blocks props. The 70% under rate and +33.6% ROI on unders creates a clear edge, while overs have produced a devastating -42.7% return for bettors.
What's Stephen Curry's average Blocks last 10 games?
Stephen Curry is averaging 0.6 blocks over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.5 line. While this +0.1 differential appears favorable, it's misleading given the 70% under rate in actual games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Curry blocks unders when the line is set at 0.5, especially in games where Golden State faces teams that don't heavily attack the rim, limiting his shot-blocking opportunities from the perimeter.