Shaedon Sharpe's three-point production craters on one day of rest, hitting the over just 38.5% of the time across 13 games. His 1.85 average falls 0.27 makes short of typical lines, creating a profitable under opportunity with +17.5% ROI.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of Sharpe's struggles when playing on minimal rest. His 1.85 three-pointers made average on one day rest represents a meaningful decline from his season-long shooting patterns, suggesting fatigue impacts his shot selection and accuracy. The 38.5% over rate across 13 games provides solid sample size reliability, while the -0.27 differential between his actual production and typical betting lines indicates consistent market mispricing. Sharpe's current three-game under streak aligns with the broader trend, though regression remains possible given his overall shooting ability. The key concern lies in Portland's pace and game script — when trailing significantly, garbage time could inflate his three-point attempts and potentially push him over inflated lines. However, the consistency of this underperformance pattern, combined with the strong under ROI of +17.5%, suggests books haven't fully adjusted their lines to account for Sharpe's rest-related shooting decline. Young players like Sharpe often show more pronounced fatigue effects than veterans, making this trend particularly exploitable until the market catches up.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 38.5% over rate and consistent -0.27 production gap create a profitable angle, especially when Sharpe's line sits at 2.0 or higher. Target games where Portland faces quality defense or plays at slower pace to maximize the edge. Main risk is garbage time inflation in blowouts, but the overall trend strength outweighs this concern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Shaedon Sharpe's 3-Pointers Made prop record 1 day rest?
Shaedon Sharpe goes 5-8-0 over/under on three-pointers made with one day rest, hitting the over just 38.5% of the time. His under bets show +17.5% ROI while overs lose -26.6% across 13 games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Shaedon Sharpe 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Bet under on Sharpe's three-pointers made with one day rest. His 1.85 average consistently falls short of typical lines around 2.1, creating profitable under opportunities with strong historical ROI.
What's Shaedon Sharpe's average 3-Pointers Made 1 day rest?
Sharpe averages 1.85 three-pointers made on one day rest, falling 0.27 makes short of typical betting lines. This consistent gap between production and market expectations drives the under's profitability.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sharpe three-point unders when his line is 2.0 or higher on one day rest, especially against quality defenses or in slower-paced games that limit his overall attempts and shooting rhythm.